Disruption Playbook

Auto-generated by Risk Mitigation Agent · AI-powered response planning

🔴 1 Active Disruption
🚨 ACTIVE DISRUPTION DETECTED ⚠ DISRUPTION BEING MITIGATED
Playbook ID: PB-2024-047

Supplier

Pacific Freight Co 🇸🇬

Logistics Provider

Risk Type

Port Congestion

Logistics

Disruption Probability

78%

Time to Impact

14–21

days estimated

Financial Exposure

$340K

if unmitigated

Affected: SKU-441, SKU-882, SKU-1203 (14 total SKUs)
Product lines at risk: Electronics Assembly, Fiber Infrastructure
Flagged by Sentinel Agent · 4 hours ago

Disruption Timeline

Critical milestones from detection to resolution

Day 0 — Active now
D0

Risk Detected — Sentinel Agent Flagged

TODAY

PSA Singapore Terminal congestion confirmed at 78% disruption probability. Playbook auto-generated. Procurement team alerted.

🔴 Critical Action required within 48hrs
D2

Alternative Supplier Selection Deadline

IN 2 DAYS

Must confirm alternative logistics provider to guarantee booking within available vessel capacity windows. Delay beyond this point increases cost premium by ~18%.

⚠ Decision required
D7

SKU-441 Emergency Reorder Deadline

IN 7 DAYS

Industrial Connectors (SKU-441) will reach critical buffer threshold. 4,200-unit reorder must be placed and confirmed to avoid production line stoppage.

Reorder Agent ready Est. value: $34,200
D11

SKU-882 CRITICAL — Stock Runout Risk

IN 11 DAYS

Circuit Assemblies (SKU-882) reach zero stock. Production halt imminent without immediate emergency reorder of 8,100 units placed today.

🔴 URGENT — Act now Est. value: $65,610
D14

Expected Disruption Impact Window

D14 — D21

Port congestion peak impact. Without mitigation, shipments delayed 14–21 days causing $340K exposure. With playbook activated, alternative routing absorbs impact.

Mitigated if activated ✓
D18

Estimated Resolution & Return to Normal

EST. D18

Alternative supplier fully onboarded, inventory buffers restored, PSA congestion expected to clear. Supply chain returns to baseline risk levels.

$340K exposure avoided

Alternative Supplier Recommendations

Ranked by Risk Mitigation Agent
#1 ⭐ AI RECOMMENDED

Metro Logistics USA

🇺🇸 United States · Domestic

Risk Score23 / 100
Lead Time Delta+2 days
Cost Premium+8% (+$27,200)
Capacity✅ Confirmed
Exposure Saved$312,800

Lowest risk option. Eliminates trans-Pacific exposure entirely. Domestic route unaffected by port congestion.

Click to Select
✓ Selected for Playbook
#2 2nd Choice

AsiaFreight Express

🇭🇰 Hong Kong · Regional

Risk Score41 / 100
Lead Time DeltaSame
Cost Premium+3% (+$10,200)
Capacity⏳ Pending
Exposure Saved$329,800

Lowest cost premium but capacity unconfirmed. Regional exposure remains — partial risk from South China Sea routing.

Click to Select
✓ Selected for Playbook
#3 Backup

Transpacific Cargo

🇦🇺 Australia · International

Risk Score38 / 100
Lead Time Delta+5 days
Cost Premium+12% (+$40,800)
Capacity✅ Confirmed
Exposure Saved$299,200

Confirmed capacity but highest cost and longest lead time increase. Use only if top two options are unavailable.

Click to Select
✓ Selected for Playbook

Cost vs. Risk Comparison

Selected option

Net Savings by Option

Trade-off Summary

Inventory Buffer Recommendations

Total reorder value: Est. $127,400
SKU Description Current Stock Days Left Target Buffer Reorder Qty Action By Status
SKU-882 Circuit Assemblies 11 days
11 		+14 days 8,100 units IMMEDIATE 🔴 URGENT
SKU-441 Industrial Connectors 18 days
18 		+21 days 4,200 units In 7 days ⚠ ACTION
SKU-1203 Fiber Cable Sets 34 days
34 		+21 days — No action ✅ OK

Reorder Agent can execute all pending orders automatically on playbook activation. Estimated lead time to receipt: 8–12 business days.

Playbook Activation

On Activation, SENTRA Will:

→ Route logistics PO to
→ Trigger Reorder Agent: SKU-882 (8,100 units, $65,610) and SKU-441 (4,200 units, $34,200)
→ Send disruption alert to procurement team, operations, and affected customers
→ Log full playbook execution to audit trail with AI reasoning trace
→ Set Sentinel Agent to continuous monitoring mode for this disruption

Expected Outcome

Financial exposure avoided

Cost of mitigation

Estimated resolution

18 days · Next update in 24 hrs

ROI of activation

SENTRA agents executing playbook…